The shooting down of the Turkish military aircraft, and the subsequent attack of the jihadist “Turkmen” on the helicopter sent from the base of Latakia to rescue the two pilots, are a point of no return in the Syrian and Iraqi crisis.
In the useless Paris Summit on climate and its changes – which are yet to be verified, considering air and water pollution – the Turkish Prime Minister Davutoglu, who many years ago developed the theory known as “zero problems with neighbours”, said to the NATO Secretary General, Jens Stoltenberg, that Turkey “has not apologized because it has only done its duty.”
It is not relevant here to compare the Turkish and the Russian versions of the shooting down of the two Russian military aircrafts.
In all likelihood, they are both partial. Nevertheless, it is worth noting that Turkey decided to shoot down a Russian military aircraft for few kilometres of border crossing, thus endangering the rest of the Atlantic Alliance, possibly forced to fight against Russia, the only country which militarily fights against Isis/Daesh, at a time of a full-blown jihad in Europe, conducted by Daesh itself.
Russia also claims that – thanks to its proximity to the territory of the jihadist Caliphate – Turkey buys the Daesh’s oil which, inter alia, comes from areas almost completely populated by Kurds.
Thanks to their structures of selective intelligence, the Russian services have recently published a photo showing President Erdogan’ son-in-law, the newly-appointed Energy Minister, speaking with a well-known emissary of Daesh/Isis in an Istanbul restaurant. Probably it was a business meeting.
Furthermore Turkey, which de facto manages the migrations flows from Mesopotamia’s war zones to Europe, was granted – almost as a reward for its political and military-political behaviour – 3 billion euro (initially, bear in mind) for the integration of Syrian migrants into Turkey.
Moreover, the European Union has established a EU-Turkey bilateral Summit to be held twice a year and finally – which is much more important – it has decided the opening, on December 14, 2015, of the negotiations on chapter 17 – regarding economic and monetary policies – for Turkey’s accession to the Union.
Both former President Sarkozy and Chancellor Merkel have always declared – and rightly so – to be opposed to Turkey’s accession to the EU, for obvious strategic and economic reasons.
Following Turkey’s accession to the European Union, we will have 77 million people – mostly Islamic people – joining the Muslims already present in Europe, who already account for 8% of the total European population. A slow and almost invisible conquest – as forecast by an old leader of the Muslim Brotherhood, Mohammed Badie, who, in 2010, said that Europe would become Muslim through immigration.
Certainly money is tempting and Turkey’s ability to blackmail the EU is evident: three very important pipelines stretch from Anatolia to the Turkish coast and it is now well-known that those who support Daesh do so to prevent the pipeline which will go from Iran through Syria and Iraq up to the Turkish coast.
The other proposed pipeline ran from Qatar (and this is the reason why the Emirate supports Al-Baghdadi) through Saudi Arabia up to the Turkish coast, as usual.
Hence Turkey is an “invariant”: it has little to lose with the war on the Caliphate or with its staying in the old Mesopotamia’s axis.
Apart from the common Sunni faith, this is the reason explaining Turkey’s basic inertia vis-à-vis Isis/Daesh.
Everyone wages its war against the Caliphate, hence nobody fights a real war: the Russian Federation settles its score with the “moderate” jihad (it makes us laugh, but this is how it was defined in the US documents) which, however is a projection of power by the Saudi-US axis, with Europe playing second fiddle, without understanding much.
While Russia has established an axis with Iran, in the future it will enter the Greater Middle East through the Mediterranean (the coastal Alawite Syria) and the Persian Gulf, where 70% of oil and gas world trade is focused.
Furthermore, if Russia wants to contain its jihad in Chechnya and the other Central Asia’s Islamic minorities, it has to fight Isis/Daesh and the continuity existing – also at territorial level – in the Syrian-Iraqi clash and the still Russified Islam, which is already in turmoil.
Turkey is fighting the Kurds rather than the Caliphate.
On the other hand, the AKP which is now in power – the Party founded by President Erdogan – was an offshoot of the Turkish Muslim Brotherhood, previously disbanded by law (and it had another name) as conservative wing of Ekbakan’s “Virtue Party”.
Indeed, Turkey needs Al-Baghdadi to settle its score once and for all with the Kurds, “the Turks of the mountains” considering that, until recently, we could not even call them by their name.
Turkey wants to unify, under its power, the whole region of Turkmen ethnicity, up to the Chinese Xin Kiang which, in fact, is organizing jihadist movements, closely monitored by the Chinese intelligence services.
Despite the recent P5 + 1 agreement with Iran, the United States side with Saudi Arabia, the country which created the circuit of petrodollars after the Yom Kippur War.
Anyway, Washington does no longer want to manage troubles in the Middle East. It is up to Europe to set in and solve the problem, if it can do so.
The European Union does not know what to do – this is its only foreign policy line.
Surely the conflict between Sunnis and Shiites will continue well beyond Daesh and in other places of the world, while both Europe and NATO will continue to stand idly by and the United States will use the so-called “moderate Muslims” to wage war on Russia, which the United States want to relegate to the role of a regional power. An impossible project.
Giancarlo Elia Valori (@GEliaValori)
Honorable of the Académie des Sciences of the Institut de France.